A1 Alkuperäisartikkeli tieteellisessä aikakauslehdessä
Future wood demands and ecosystem services trade-offs : A policy analysis in Norway (2023)
Vergarechea, M., Astrup, R., Fischer, C., Øistad, K., Blattert, C., Hartikainen, M., Eyvindson, K., Di Fulvio, F., Forsell, N., Burgas, D., Toraño-Caicoya, A., Mönkkönen, M., & Antón-Fernández, C. (2023). Future wood demands and ecosystem services trade-offs : A policy analysis in Norway. Forest Policy and Economics, 147, Article 102899. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.forpol.2022.102899
JYU-tekijät tai -toimittajat
Julkaisun tiedot
Julkaisun kaikki tekijät tai toimittajat: Vergarechea, M.; Astrup, R.; Fischer, C.; Øistad, K.; Blattert, C.; Hartikainen, M.; Eyvindson, K.; Di Fulvio, F.; Forsell, N.; Burgas, D.; et al.
Lehti tai sarja: Forest Policy and Economics
ISSN: 1389-9341
eISSN: 1872-7050
Julkaisuvuosi: 2023
Volyymi: 147
Artikkelinumero: 102899
Kustantaja: Elsevier
Julkaisumaa: Alankomaat
Julkaisun kieli: englanti
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.forpol.2022.102899
Julkaisun avoin saatavuus: Avoimesti saatavilla
Julkaisukanavan avoin saatavuus: Osittain avoin julkaisukanava
Julkaisu on rinnakkaistallennettu (JYX): https://jyx.jyu.fi/handle/123456789/84755
Tiivistelmä
To mitigate climate change, several European countries have launched policies to promote the development of a renewable resource-based bioeconomy. These bioeconomy strategies plan to use renewable biological resources, which will increase timber and biomass demands and will potentially conflict with multiple other ecosystem services provided by forests. In addition, these forest ecosystem services (FES) are also influenced by other, different, policy strategies, causing a potential mismatch in proposed management solutions for achieving the different policy goals. We evaluated how Norwegian forests can meet the projected wood and biomass demands from the international market for achieving mitigation targets and at the same time meet nationally determined targets for other FES. Using data from the Norwegian national forest inventory (NFI) we simulated the development of Norwegian forests under different management regimes and defined different forest policy scenarios, according to the most relevant forest policies in Norway: national forest policy (NFS), biodiversity policy (BIOS), and bioeconomy policy (BIES). Finally, through multi-objective optimization, we identified the combination of management regimes matching best with each policy scenario. The results for all scenarios indicated that Norway will be able to satisfy wood demands of up to 17 million m3 in 2093. However, the policy objectives for FES under each scenario caused substantial differences in terms of the management regimes selected. We observed that BIES and NFS resulted in very similar forest management programs in Norway, with a dominance of extensive management regimes. In BIOS there was an increase of set aside areas and continuous cover forestry, which made it more compatible with biodiversity indicators. We also found multiple synergies and trade-offs between the FES, likely influenced by the definition of the policy targets at the national scale.
YSO-asiasanat: ekosysteemipalvelut; ekosysteemit (ekologia); monitavoiteoptimointi; metsäpolitiikka; metsänkäsittely
Vapaat asiasanat: ecosystem services; multi-objective optimization; forest policy; forest management
Liittyvät organisaatiot
OKM-raportointi: Kyllä
VIRTA-lähetysvuosi: 2023
JUFO-taso: 2
