A1 Alkuperäisartikkeli tieteellisessä aikakauslehdessä
Accounting for species interactions is necessary for predicting how arctic arthropod communities respond to climate change (2021)

Abrego, N., Roslin, T., Huotari, T., Ji, Y., Schmidt, N. M., Wang, J., Yu, D. W., & Ovaskainen, O. (2021). Accounting for species interactions is necessary for predicting how arctic arthropod communities respond to climate change. Ecography, 44(6), 885-896. https://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.05547

JYU-tekijät tai -toimittajat

Julkaisun tiedot

Julkaisun kaikki tekijät tai toimittajat: Abrego, Nerea; Roslin, Tomas; Huotari, Tea; Ji, Yinqiu; Schmidt, Niels Martin; Wang, Jiaxin; Yu, Douglas W.; Ovaskainen, Otso

Lehti tai sarja: Ecography

ISSN: 0906-7590

eISSN: 1600-0587

Julkaisuvuosi: 2021

Ilmestymispäivä: 22.03.2021

Volyymi: 44

Lehden numero: 6

Artikkelin sivunumerot: 885-896

Kustantaja: Wiley-Blackwell

Julkaisumaa: Britannia

Julkaisun kieli: englanti

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.05547

Julkaisun avoin saatavuus: Avoimesti saatavilla

Julkaisukanavan avoin saatavuus: Kokonaan avoin julkaisukanava

Julkaisu on rinnakkaistallennettu (JYX): https://jyx.jyu.fi/handle/123456789/74891

Tiivistelmä

Species interactions are known to structure ecological communities. Still, the influence of climate change on biodiversity has primarily been evaluated by correlating individual species distributions with local climatic descriptors, then extrapolating into future climate scenarios. We ask whether predictions on arctic arthropod response to climate change can be improved by accounting for species interactions. For this, we use a 14‐year‐long, weekly time series from Greenland, resolved to the species level by mitogenome mapping. During the study period, temperature increased by 2°C and arthropod species richness halved. We show that with abiotic variables alone, we are essentially unable to predict species responses, but with species interactions included, the predictive power of the models improves considerably. Cascading trophic effects thereby emerge as important in structuring biodiversity response to climate change. Given the need to scale up from species‐level to community‐level projections of biodiversity change, these results represent a major step forward for predictive ecology.

YSO-asiasanat: arktinen alue; biodiversiteetti; ilmastonmuutokset; eliöyhteisöt; ravintoverkot; niveljalkaiset

Vapaat asiasanat: Arctic; Arthropoda; climate change; community assembly; food web; joint species distribution model; trophic cascade

Liittyvät organisaatiot

OKM-raportointi: Kyllä

Raportointivuosi: 2021

JUFO-taso: 2