A1 Journal article (refereed)
Verifying the predicted risk of extinction based on ecological characteristics (2021)
Komonen, A., & Kotiaho, J. S. (2021). Verifying the predicted risk of extinction based on ecological characteristics. Conservation Science and Practice, 3(7), Article e446. https://doi.org/10.1111/csp2.446
JYU authors or editors
Publication details
All authors or editors: Komonen, Atte; Kotiaho, Janne S.
Journal or series: Conservation Science and Practice
ISSN: 2578-4854
eISSN: 2578-4854
Publication year: 2021
Publication date: 07/05/2021
Volume: 3
Issue number: 7
Article number: e446
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Publication country: United States
Publication language: English
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/csp2.446
Publication open access: Openly available
Publication channel open access: Open Access channel
Publication is parallel published (JYX): https://jyx.jyu.fi/handle/123456789/75452
Abstract
Red List status of species should reflect species extinction risk. Because data are limited and species response has a time lag, species may be threatened by extinction even if they are not Red‐Listed. The ability to predict species risk of extinction from ecological characteristics holds promises for proactively targeting conservation measures to species at high risk. In 2005, the risk of extinction from ecological characteristics was predicted for 81 species of Finnish butterflies. Now, after 15 years and two additional national Red List assessments, these predictions are verified. Species with a higher risk of extinction according to the original ecological extinction risk rank (EERR) have indeed deteriorated further as judged by their Red List status, whereas species with a smaller risk of extinction according to EERR retained their Red List status or became more viable. The analysis confirms that predicting the risk of extinction based on ecological characteristics works in practice, and such a complementary approach to Red Listing could help us to advance conservation biology from the crisis discipline toward prognostic conservation practice.
Keywords: Lepidoptera; insects; species protection; endangered species; extinction (death); risk factors; population ecology
Free keywords: butterflies; insects; IUCN; Red List; threatened species
Contributing organizations
Ministry reporting: Yes
Reporting Year: 2021
JUFO rating: 1